Gold technical analysis overview for March 2021 with team Money Life Research

 Gold technical analysis overview for March 2021 with team MoneyLife 💷 Research 📈

On the monthly chart, after ending February with a strong bearish candle, it shows that the selling pressure is still dominating with the information coming from the USD strongly increasing in the context of US bond yields.  go to high place.  The US economic outlook is brightly assessed.  In general, fundamental and technical analysis is in favor of the next decline in gold, here I have drawn a long-term downside target for gold to be 1500-1600.  On the H4 chart it can be seen that the price at the beginning of the week is recovering and I have drawn fibo to determine where the recovery span can be reached, here in my opinion, the price can recover to the 38.2-50 fibo zone.  is resistance in the past.  To be safe, we can wait for the price to rise to this zone and close the candle to give a bearish signal, then entering the order will be low risk.  The specific signal I will update with proper levels.

Gold Trading Tips

EURO, EUR/USD, US DOLLAR, INFLATION, TREASURY YIELDS

ASIA-PACIFIC RECAP

Risk assets continued to slide lower during the Asia-Pacific trade as an aggressive rise in global bond yields notably weighed on market sentiment. Australia’s ASX 200 plunged 2.35% as yields on local 10-year government bonds surged to the highest levels since April 2019, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 plummeted 3.6%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped over 3% and China’s CSI 300 fell 1.87%.

In FX markets, the haven-associated USD, JPY, and CHF largely outperformed, while the cyclically-sensitive AUD, NZD, and NOK slid lower. Gold and silver prices lost ground as yields on US 10-year Treasuries held above 1.47%. Looking ahead, US PCE figures for January and consumer sentiment for February headline the economic docket alongside trade balance data out of Mexico.

SURGING REAL YIELDS BUOYING US DOLLAR

Surging bond yields have buoyed the heavily under-fire US Dollar in recent days, and may open the door for the Greenback to claw back lost ground against the Euro in the near term. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries surged to the highest level since early February of 2020, climbing over 14 basis points in 24 hours as investors continue to bet on the Federal Reserve adjusting its policy levers sooner-than-expected.

However, this seems relatively unlikely given the dovish rhetoric of several members of the Federal Reserve over the last few weeks. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – one of the first to suggest tapering measures at the end of 2021 – is not expecting to Federal Reserve to react prematurely to climbing yields, stating that they “have definitely moved at the longer end, but right now I am not worried about that”.

This reinforces the comments from Jerome Powell at the Fed’s semi-annual monetary policy testimony before Congress, with Powell reiterating that “the economy is a long way from our employment and inflation goals, and therefore the central bank will maintain its loose approach to monetary policy until “substantial further progress has been made” towards achieving its two mandated goals.

Nevertheless, breakeven inflation rates have stormed to multiyear highs, with the 10-year currently sitting at 2.1% and the 5-year at 2.35%. Real yields have also soared to 9-month highs, while expectations of the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike have been pulled forward from early-2024 to early-2023.

These dynamics could open the door for a short-term US Dollar recovery, with attention now intently focused on upcoming PCE figures for the month of January. A larger-than-expected increase in core PCE prices probably intensifying tapering bets and pushing the Greenback higher against its major counterparts.

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KLCI rises 0.77% as select blue chips

KLCI rises 0.77% as select blue chips led by Tenaga lift The main index at Bursa Malaysia rose 0.77% in early trade Wednesday as select index-linked stocks including Tenaga Nasional Bhd advanced, against the backdrop of mixed regional markets.

At 9.05am, the FBM KLCI rose 12.14 points to 1,577.19.

The early gainers included Nestle (M) Bhd, Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Keluarga Bhd, Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd, Frontken Corp Bhd, Aeon Credit Service (M) Bhd, Latitude Tree Holdings Bhd, Tasco Bhd and Tenaga Nasional Bhd.

 

Bloomberg said U.S. equity futures fluctuated and Asian stocks looked set to slip as investors mulled comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on inflation and growth that spurred swings in stocks and bonds Tuesday.

 

JF Apex Research said US markets ended mixed with the Dow reversing intraday steep losses after the Federal Reserve chairman eased concerns about inflation and rising rates.

 

It said that earlier, European stocks declined following losses in technology counters and rising bond yields.

 

“On the local market, the FBM KLCI lost 5.41 points or 0.34% to 1565.05 points.

“Following the mixed performances in the US and Europe, the FBM KLCI could remain pressured and test the immediate support of 1560 points.

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THE 3 MOST COMMON EMOTIONS TRADERS EXPERIENCE

 Some of the most common emotions traders experience include fear, nervousness, conviction, excitement, greed, and overconfidence.

Fear/Nervousness

A common cause of fear is trading too big. Trading with improper size magnifies volatility unnecessarily and causes you to make mistakes you normally wouldn’t make if you weren’t under the stress of risking larger losses than normal.

Another culprit for fear (or nervousness) is you are in the ‘wrong’ trade, meaning one that doesn’t fit your trading plan.

Conviction/Excitement

Conviction and excitement are key emotions you’ll want to feed off, and you should feel these in every trade you enter. Conviction is the final piece of any good trade, and if you don’t have a level of excitement or conviction then there is a good chance you are not in the ‘right’ trade for you.

By ‘right’ we mean the correct trade according to your trading plan. Good trades can be losers just as bad trades can be winners. The idea is to keep yourself winning and losing on only good trades. Making sure you have a conviction on trade will help ensure this.

Greed/Overconfidence

If you find yourself only wanting to take trades that you deem as possible big winners, you could be getting greedy. Your greed may have been the result of doing well, but if you aren’t careful you may slip and end up in a drawdown.

Always check that you are using proper trade mechanics (i.e. sticking to stops, targets, good risk/management, good trade set-ups). Sloppy trading as a result of overconfidence can end a strong run.

Learn more about managing greed and fear while trading.

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Oil prices edged higher on Monday

TOKYO (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher on Monday after a weak start, holding on to the past three months of gains, although patchy coronavirus vaccine rollouts, new infections, and the discovery of new variants are keeping a lid on prices.

Brent crude futures were up 10 cents at $55.14 a barrel by 0233 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained 1 cent to $52.21. Both benchmarks gained nearly 8% in January.

Oil prices have been boosted by vaccination programs getting underway in hard-hit countries and output cuts by major producers like Saudi Arabia. But the euphoria over a possible end to the pandemic has been undermined by the slow pace of vaccinations and the rise of new variants of the coronavirus.

Still, with more vaccines proving successful in trials and infections falling in some areas, demand for oil and fuels is likely to pick up as more of the world's population gets inoculated against COVID-19.

"Demand will recover across the board, led by Asia-Pacific and North America," FitchSolutions said in a research note.

"Europe and Latin America will lag, largely a reflection of softer economic recovery in key markets in these regions," it said.

Oil prices are expected to remain around current levels for most of this year before a recovery gains ground towards year-end, a Reuters poll showed late on Friday.

U.S. oil and gas drillers are gearing up for a pickup in demand and as higher prices make news wells profitable again, adding rigs for the sixth month in a row in January. [RIG/U]

U.S. output is rising and was above 11 million barrels per day in November for the first time since April, according to the Energy Information Administration

                       Bursa Malaysia Stock Tips

The 10 Stocks Experts Say You Should Invest in 2021

 The world went into real uncharted territories in 2020, beginning with a pandemic no one had foreseen, and one the world had not experienced in decades. And while the following fall in the equity markets was expected, the wild surge upwards as bulls dominated — including in Bursa Malaysia — was rather not, especially with the yet-to-dissipate shadows cast by the coronavirus.

IHH Healthcare Bhd

IHH Healthcare Bhd, which has operations in various parts of Asia, has been touted as a proxy for regional recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

 Genting Malaysia Bhd

The casino operator is in the sweet spot to benefit from growing domestic tourism as borders are closed; Malaysians cannot travel abroad. Should the international borders be re-opened in 2021, Genting Malaysia Bhd (GENM) will also benefit from the arrival of foreign tourists.

Tenaga Nasional Bhd

The utility giant was the second-worst performing FBM KLCI component stock in 2020 after Genting Bhd. Its share price drifted lower even after the global rout in March while others rebounded from the troughs.

Hartalega Holdings Bhd

If you still believe in the great earnings growth story in the rubber glove industry despite the availability of the Covid-19 vaccine, Hartalega Holdings Bhd could be a choice to buy on strength given that the stock has sagged almost 43% from its peak of RM21.16, according to Maybank IB. 

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Bhd

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Bhd’s (BAT) share price staged a strong rebound in the final two months of 2020, recouping most of the lost ground as it hit a 20-year low of RM8.80 in March. 

Magnum Bhd

 Unless there is another round of Movement Control Order that requires the shutdown of non-essential businesses, including number forecast operators (NFOs), to contain the Covid-19 pandemic, Magnum Bhd is expected to be well on the earnings recovery path.

Public infrastructure exposure

Gamuda Bhd and Sunway Construction Group Bhd (SunCon) are perceived to be among the key beneficiaries of public mega infrastructure projects such as the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) and High-Speed Rail (HSR) line

Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd

For the airport operator, 2020 was an annus horribilis, with the company booted from the FBM KLCI as international air travel was brought to its knees as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic

My EG Services Bhd

For My EG Services Bhd (MyEG), investors may have to ignore the noises and focus on contracts that it has in hand, which will be a reflection of its earnings potential

Mega First Corp Bhd

Year 2021 could be a volatile year, Mega First Corp Bhd's steady and resilient earnings from the 260MW Don Sahong hydropower project could be a shelter

Bursa Malaysia Stock Tips

Overview on DAX

We are entering a dynamic of strong intraday rises and falls which can give a lot of play.  The DAX resists falling in part also because the Americans still have a certain bullish force, but as soon as this is over we will see continued falls or, on the contrary, if they resume strength, we will return to highs again.  After yesterday's strong rise, today the falls with gap included in the DAX return, if the minimum of yesterday holds it will not go ahead.  Regarding data, today we have the German GDP, and personal expenses and the Michigan sentiment index in the USA.

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