Gold technical analysis overview for March 2021 with team MoneyLife 💷 Research 📈
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Monday, March 1, 2021
Gold technical analysis overview for March 2021 with team Money Life Research
Friday, February 26, 2021
EURO, EUR/USD, US DOLLAR, INFLATION, TREASURY YIELDS
ASIA-PACIFIC RECAP
Risk assets continued to slide lower during the Asia-Pacific trade as an aggressive rise in global bond yields notably weighed on market sentiment. Australia’s ASX 200 plunged 2.35% as yields on local 10-year government bonds surged to the highest levels since April 2019, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 plummeted 3.6%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped over 3% and China’s CSI 300 fell 1.87%.
In FX markets, the haven-associated USD, JPY, and CHF largely outperformed, while the cyclically-sensitive AUD, NZD, and NOK slid lower. Gold and silver prices lost ground as yields on US 10-year Treasuries held above 1.47%. Looking ahead, US PCE figures for January and consumer sentiment for February headline the economic docket alongside trade balance data out of Mexico.
SURGING REAL YIELDS BUOYING US DOLLAR
Surging bond yields have buoyed the heavily under-fire US Dollar in recent days, and may open the door for the Greenback to claw back lost ground against the Euro in the near term. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries surged to the highest level since early February of 2020, climbing over 14 basis points in 24 hours as investors continue to bet on the Federal Reserve adjusting its policy levers sooner-than-expected.
However, this seems relatively unlikely given the dovish rhetoric of several members of the Federal Reserve over the last few weeks. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic – one of the first to suggest tapering measures at the end of 2021 – is not expecting to Federal Reserve to react prematurely to climbing yields, stating that they “have definitely moved at the longer end, but right now I am not worried about that”.
This reinforces the comments from Jerome Powell at the Fed’s semi-annual monetary policy testimony before Congress, with Powell reiterating that “the economy is a long way from our employment and inflation goals, and therefore the central bank will maintain its loose approach to monetary policy until “substantial further progress has been made” towards achieving its two mandated goals.
Nevertheless, breakeven inflation rates have stormed to multiyear highs, with the 10-year currently sitting at 2.1% and the 5-year at 2.35%. Real yields have also soared to 9-month highs, while expectations of the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike have been pulled forward from early-2024 to early-2023.
These dynamics could open the door for a short-term US Dollar recovery, with attention now intently focused on upcoming PCE figures for the month of January. A larger-than-expected increase in core PCE prices probably intensifying tapering bets and pushing the Greenback higher against its major counterparts.
Thursday, February 25, 2021
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Wednesday, February 24, 2021
KLCI rises 0.77% as select blue chips
KLCI rises 0.77% as select blue chips led by Tenaga lift The main index at Bursa Malaysia rose 0.77% in early trade Wednesday as select index-linked stocks including Tenaga Nasional Bhd advanced, against the backdrop of mixed regional markets.
At 9.05am, the FBM KLCI rose 12.14
points to 1,577.19.
The early gainers included Nestle
(M) Bhd, Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Keluarga Bhd, Kuala Lumpur Kepong Bhd,
Frontken Corp Bhd, Aeon Credit Service (M) Bhd, Latitude Tree Holdings Bhd,
Tasco Bhd and Tenaga Nasional Bhd.
Bloomberg said U.S. equity futures
fluctuated and Asian stocks looked set to slip as investors mulled comments
from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on inflation and growth that
spurred swings in stocks and bonds Tuesday.
JF Apex Research said US markets
ended mixed with the Dow reversing intraday steep losses after the Federal
Reserve chairman eased concerns about inflation and rising rates.
It said that earlier, European
stocks declined following losses in technology counters and rising bond yields.
“On the local market, the FBM KLCI
lost 5.41 points or 0.34% to 1565.05 points.
“Following the mixed performances in
the US and Europe, the FBM KLCI could remain pressured and test the immediate
support of 1560 points.
Thursday, February 18, 2021
China Fuels Spike in Crude Oil Prices
Crude oil’s price spike lives on.
China’s economic recovery, dropping stockpiles, OPEC production cuts, and cold weather across the north has driven the price of crude oil to its highest mark in more than two years.
And there are no signs this climb will end any time soon with more vaccines rolling out and the global economy beginning to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic.
🛢️ Crude oil’s price continues its climb thanks to China’s recovery, cold temperatures in the north, and OPEC production cuts.
This push upwards seems to have no end in sight, so what are you waiting for to trade oil now?
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Wednesday, February 17, 2021
4 Effective Trading Indicators Every Trader Should Know
When your forex trading adventure begins, you’ll likely be met with a swarm of different methods for trading. However, most trading opportunities can be easily identified with just one of four chart indicators. Once you know how to use the Moving Average, RSI, Stochastic, & MACD indicator, you’ll be well on your way to executing your trading plan like a pro. You’ll also be provided with a free reinforcement tool so that you’ll know how to identify trades using these forex indicators every day.
THE BENEFITS OF A SIMPLE STRATEGY
Traders tend to overcomplicate things when they’re starting in the forex market. This fact is unfortunate but undeniably true. Traders often feel that a complex trading strategy with many moving parts must be better when they should focus on keeping things as simple as possible. This is because a simple strategy allows for quick reactions and less stress.
If you’re just getting started, you should seek the most effective and simple strategies for identifying trades and stick with that approach.
DISCOVER THE BEST FOREX INDICATORS FOR A SIMPLE STRATEGY
One way to simplify your trading is through a trading plan that includes chart indicators and a few rules as to how you should use those indicators. In keeping with the idea that simple is best, there are four easy indicators you should become familiar with using one or two at a time to identify trading entry and exit points:
- Moving Average
- RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Slow Stochastic
- MACD
Once you are trading a live account a simple plan with simple rules will be your best ally.
USING FOREX INDICATORS TO READ CHARTS FOR DIFFERENT MARKET ENVIRONMENTS
There are many fundamental factors when determining the value of a currency relative to another currency. Many traders opt to look at the charts as a simplified way to identify trading opportunities – using forex indicators to do so.
When looking at the charts, you’ll notice two common market environments. The two environments are either ranging markets with a strong level of support and resistance or floor and ceiling the price isn’t breaking through or a trending market where the price is steadily moving higher or lower.
Using technical analysis allows you as a trader to identify range bound or trending environments and then find higher probability entries or exits based on their readings. Reading the indicators is as simple as putting them on the chart.
TRADING WITH MOVING AVERAGES
One of the best forex indicators for any strategy is moving average. Moving averages make it easier for traders to locate trading opportunities in the direction of the overall trend. When the market is trending up, you can use the moving average or multiple moving averages to identify the trend and the right time to buy or sell.
The moving average is a plotted line that simply measures the average price of a currency pair over a specific period of time, like the last 200 days or year of price action to understand the overall direction.
You’ll notice a trade idea was generated above only by adding a few moving averages to the chart. Identifying trade opportunities with moving averages allows you to see and trade-off of momentum by entering when the currency pair moves in the direction of the moving average and exiting when it begins to move opposite.
TRADING WITH RSI
The Relative Strength Index or RSI is an oscillator that is simple and helpful in its application. Oscillators like the RSI help you determine when a currency is overbought or oversold, so a reversal is likely. For those who like to ‘buy low and sell high’, the RSI may be the right indicator for you.
The RSI can be used equally well in trending or ranging markets to locate better entry and exit prices. When markets have no clear direction and are ranging, you can take either buy or sell signals like you see above. When markets are trending, it becomes more obvious which direction to trade (one benefit of trend trading) and you only want to enter in the direction of the trend when the indicator is recovering from extremes.
Because the RSI is an oscillator, it is plotted with values between 0 and 100. The value of 100 is considered overbought and a reversal to the downside is likely whereas the value of 0 is considered oversold and a reversal to the upside is commonplace. If an uptrend has been discovered, you would want to identify the RSI reversing from readings below 30 or oversold before entering back in the direction of the trend.
TRADING WITH STOCHASTICS
Slow stochastics are an oscillator like the RSI that can help you locate overbought or oversold environments, likely making a reversal in price. The unique aspect of trading with the stochastic indicator is the two lines, %K and %D line to signal our entry.
Because the oscillator has the same overbought or oversold readings, you simply look for the %K line to cross above the %D line through the 20 levels to identify a solid buy signal in the direction of the trend.
TRADING WITH THE MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE & DIVERGENCE (MACD)
Sometimes known as the king of oscillators, the MACD can be used well in trending or ranging markets due to its use of moving averages provide a visual display of changes in momentum.
After you’ve identified the market environment as either ranging or trading, there are two things you want to look for to derive signals from this indicator. First, you want to recognize the lines in relation to the zero lines which identify an upward or downward bias of the currency pair. Second, you want to identify a crossover or cross under the MACD line (Red) to the Signal line (Blue) for a buy or sell trade, respectively.
Tuesday, February 16, 2021
THE 3 MOST COMMON EMOTIONS TRADERS EXPERIENCE
Some of the most common emotions traders experience include fear, nervousness, conviction, excitement, greed, and overconfidence.
Fear/Nervousness
A common cause of fear is trading too big. Trading with improper size magnifies volatility unnecessarily and causes you to make mistakes you normally wouldn’t make if you weren’t under the stress of risking larger losses than normal.
Another culprit for fear (or nervousness) is you are in the ‘wrong’ trade, meaning one that doesn’t fit your trading plan.
Conviction/Excitement
Conviction and excitement are key emotions you’ll want to feed off, and you should feel these in every trade you enter. Conviction is the final piece of any good trade, and if you don’t have a level of excitement or conviction then there is a good chance you are not in the ‘right’ trade for you.
By ‘right’ we mean the correct trade according to your trading plan. Good trades can be losers just as bad trades can be winners. The idea is to keep yourself winning and losing on only good trades. Making sure you have a conviction on trade will help ensure this.
Greed/Overconfidence
If you find yourself only wanting to take trades that you deem as possible big winners, you could be getting greedy. Your greed may have been the result of doing well, but if you aren’t careful you may slip and end up in a drawdown.
Always check that you are using proper trade mechanics (i.e. sticking to stops, targets, good risk/management, good trade set-ups). Sloppy trading as a result of overconfidence can end a strong run.
Learn more about managing greed and fear while trading.
Tuesday, February 9, 2021
Today's Gold Overview
MARKET VIEW
Weekly changes: XAUUSD -2.89%
Gold went down last week thanks to advances in vaccines stimulating the outlook for a recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.
The metal's appeal as a safe haven is diminishing as investors compare this view to the possibility that further stimulus could weaken the dollar and drive up consumer prices.
KEY POINTS
The price of gold was way oversold, and this has provided the perfect catalyst for retracement later last week.
Non-farm payrolls data has reaffirmed the need of another round of stimulus, which will help the gold price to recover.
Important levels: 1,784, 1,814, 1,827, and 1,848.
USD Index Price Analysis: A drop to the 200-day SMA cannot be ruled out DXY breaks below the 106.00 support to clinch new multi-month lows. ...
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In yesterday's trading session, precious metal Gold fluctuated in the range of 1801-1819, after matching buy limit order at 1802 Gold p...
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The US Dollar is at an advantage against the Euro thanks to the Fed – Commerzbank Whose monetary policy is more attractive? A comparison of ...
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GBP/USD: Rally could extend to 1.1910 and 1.2000 – UOB Extra upside in GBP/USD could revisit the 1.1910 and even 1.2000 in the short-term ...



